- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?11¢11 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026?3¢3 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 8, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026?5¢5 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 10, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 11, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?21¢21 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 13, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 14, 2026?1¢1 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 15, 2026?1¢1 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 16, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 25 %10,5 %November 6Promet 18,9 tis. $
- 1 %3,3 %November 7Promet 3,9 tis. $
- 3 %0,4 %November 8Promet 2,6 tis. $
- 5 %5,2 %November 9Promet 8,4 tis. $
- 9 %4,5 %November 10Promet 4,2 tis. $
- 2 %5,9 %November 11Promet 3,1 tis. $
- 13 %20,5 %November 12Promet 10,6 tis. $
- 2 %5,8 %November 13Promet 1,6 tis. $
- 1 %1,1 %November 14Promet 1,5 tis. $
- 1 %1,1 %November 15Promet 1,5 tis. $
- 3 %6,4 %November 16Promet 612,1 $
- 0,8 %November 17Promet 625,7 $
OpenAI’s hints of a potential GPT-6.1 Astra upgrade, following its September cancellation over safety regressions in deception and scope adherence, are the main driver behind current market-implied odds favoring a mid-November release. Traders weigh the company’s pattern of rapid GPT-6 family iterations—including the recent GPT-6.1 Terra and GPT-6 Cyber launches—against persistent alignment challenges and cheaper near-Astra alternatives like GPT-6.1 Sol. Competitive pressure from other labs and internal distillation efforts add uncertainty, while the absence of an official model card or pricing keeps timelines fluid. November 12 stands out as the leading date amid these dynamics, though no release by month-end retains notable probability given historical slippage in frontier model timelines.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.