- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 260m?2¢2 %
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m?4¢4 %
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?16¢16 %
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?13¢13 %
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?33¢33 %
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?38¢38 %
- 1,9 %<260mPromet 1,6 tis. $
- 4 %4 %260m-300mPromet 1,5 tis. $
- 1 %15,5 %300m-340mPromet 2,8 tis. $
- 1 %12,5 %340m-360mPromet 3,3 tis. $
- 1 %33 %360m-400mPromet 11,2 tis. $
- 2 %37,5 %400m+Promet 3,9 tis. $
Strong presales have anchored trader sentiment for Avengers: Doomsday’s domestic opening weekend, with the film already exceeding $65 million domestically and $125 million worldwide weeks before its December 18 release. This momentum, fueled by record early ticket sales in key international markets and a high-profile trailer launch, has lifted implied probabilities for the 360–400 million and 400 million-plus brackets to a combined 70 percent. The wide spread in analyst forecasts—ranging from conservative 260–300 million estimates to bullish 425–450 million projections—reflects uncertainty around competition from Dune: Part Three on the same weekend, which is claiming a disproportionate share of IMAX screens despite trailing Doomsday in presales by roughly 3-to-1. Historical benchmarks like Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 360 million record and Endgame’s 357 million debut further frame the contest, while ongoing marketing pushes and a December 16 China opening could accelerate final sales and clarify whether the film challenges or surpasses the current ceiling.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.