Élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte Deuxième tour : Marge de victoire
PolitiqueÉlectionsÉlections mondialesBrésilMarge de victoireMonde
Date de début
2026-10-07
Date de fin
2026-10-26
Volume 24h
$2K
Volume total
$3K
  • Allyson remportera-t-il le second tour du gubernatorial du Rio Grande do Norte 2026 avec au moins 15 % d'avance ?23¢
  • Allyson remportera-t-elle le second tour de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte 2026 avec une avance de 10 % à 15 % ?17¢
  • Allyson remportera-t-elle le second tour de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte en 2026 avec une avance de 6 %-10 % ?17¢
  • Allyson remportera-t-il le second tour de l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte 2026 avec une avance de 3 % à 6 % ?35¢
  • Allyson remportera-t-il le second tour de l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte 2026 avec moins de 3 % d'avance ?14¢
  • Cadu de Lula remportera-t-il le second tour de l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte en 2026 ?13¢

The second round of the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the second round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election as published by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte Deuxième tour : Marge de victoire

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