- Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.60 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.80 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.80–$1.90 in August?<1¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?3¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?5¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?36¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?23¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?30¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40–$2.50 in August?6¢
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.60 in August?<1¢
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Recent retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.19 per dozen in July 2026 per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6 amid flock rebuilding and reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza pressure. This supply recovery has produced weak wholesale benchmarks around $0.36–$0.42 per dozen in mid-August, pressuring trader expectations for the August BLS average into the $2.10–$2.40 range where implied probabilities cluster tightly. Key swing factors include any late-month seasonal demand shifts, potential new HPAI detections that could tighten supply within weeks, and persistent feed-cost volatility, leaving the market-implied odds reflective of balanced uncertainty around current levels rather than a decisive directional bet.