This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s consistent track record of front-loaded view velocity on main-channel releases drives the strong 71% market-implied probability for 90M+ views in the first week. With over 516 million subscribers and videos routinely surpassing 80–150 million total views within days, traders see the next upload as likely to maintain that momentum through algorithm amplification and broad promotional reach. The just-released “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” featuring a multi-year Gemini AI partnership, adds fresh sponsorship visibility and production scale that historically correlates with elevated early engagement. Upcoming chart and performance updates will test whether this pattern holds or faces any short-term softening.