- Kumpirmado na ba ng US na may mga alien bago ang 2027?4¢
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?1¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ongoing UAP declassification under the Trump administration's PURSUE initiative, with five tranches of historical files released between May and August 2026, has increased transparency but produced no official statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. Pentagon and ODNI releases include documents, images, and videos from multiple agencies, yet officials continue to state that cases remain unexplained without evidence of off-world origins. Recent congressional hearings featuring whistleblower claims of non-human intelligence have drawn attention, though these remain unverified allegations. Rolling releases scheduled on an ongoing basis and potential further hearings represent key near-term catalysts, but the absence of a definitive executive or agency confirmation sustains low trader-implied probabilities for near-term resolution.