- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 15 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?5¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?11¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?30¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?26¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?22¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?13¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s day-one view totals for main-channel long-form videos have recently clustered in the mid-20 million to low-40 million range, reflecting the market’s tight spread between the 25–30M and 30–35M buckets. With more than 515 million subscribers and a reliable Saturday-noon Eastern release cadence, the channel benefits from strong algorithmic push and thumbnail-driven click-through rates, yet individual video concepts—high-stakes challenges versus spectacle stunts—create meaningful variance in early momentum. Traders are pricing in typical performance while noting that breakout hype or cross-platform teasers could push results higher, and softer concepts or external timing factors could cap them lower. Upcoming uploads will test whether recent totals sustain or shift the consensus.