- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?23¢
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?18¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?7¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?32¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?12¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk's X activity patterns and platform engagement levels are driving the tight clustering around 180-239 tweets for the August 28–September 4 window, with 200-219 holding the strongest trader consensus at 31.5%. Recent posting cadence, including replies, threads, and promotional content, reflects his typical high-volume approach during non-election periods, tempered by any moderation in daily output. The competitive spread across neighboring ranges highlights uncertainty over potential spikes from breaking news cycles or sustained interaction with followers, while historical weekly averages and absence of major external catalysts keep probabilities balanced. The final two days could shift momentum if activity accelerates or stays measured.