Rockstar Games and Take-Two officially priced Grand Theft Auto VI at $79.99 for the standard edition and $99.99 for the Ultimate Edition when preorders opened in June 2026, directly anchoring trader sentiment for the “No” outcome at 98.4 percent. This $10 premium over the prior $69.99 AAA benchmark reflects measured value positioning rather than a full leap to triple digits, supported by strong early preorder data and Take-Two’s public comments that consumers should pay less than the full perceived value. With the November 19 launch weeks away and physical editions already listed at the announced figure, any shift to a $100-plus base price would require an unprecedented last-minute reversal. The only plausible upset remains a surprise day-one adjustment, though historical precedent and locked-in preorders make that outcome highly remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.