- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 40 million views on day 4?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41 and 42 million views on day 4?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 43 million views on day 4?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?>99¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?<1¢
- Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 45 million or more views on day 4?<1¢
Strong initial momentum from the October 10 release of the "$10,000 Every Day You Survive In Minecraft" video has driven the 43-44 million views outcome to 94.4% implied probability on day 4. MrBeast Gaming's 60.6 million subscribers, combined with proven Minecraft engagement patterns and YouTube's recommendation algorithm favoring high-retention challenge content, have produced steady daily gains that align with recent comparable releases averaging 42-50 million early views. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified upload data and typical velocity curves rather than speculation. A sudden algorithmic deprioritization, competing platform events, or unexpected drop in watch time could still shift totals into adjacent brackets.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers only to the video "$10,000 Every Day You Survive In Minecraft" by MrBeast Gaming (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8VE9_aHd94).