- Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?94¢94%
- Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?60¢60%
- Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $400M?34¢34%
- Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $440M?12¢12%
CrowdStrike's recent fiscal Q2 2027 results, with a record $333 million in net new ARR (up 51% year-over-year) and ending ARR reaching $5.84 billion, have fueled trader optimism for Q3 performance amid accelerating adoption of its Falcon Flex subscription model and AI-driven security offerings like Falcon Guardian. Strong module adoption rates, improved retention, and a record pipeline support expectations of continued sequential growth toward the company's guided Q3 ending ARR range of approximately $6.185–6.188 billion. Competitive dynamics in endpoint and AI agent security, plus ongoing legacy replacement opportunities, reinforce momentum, though traders are watching for any shifts in enterprise spending or execution risks ahead of the December 1 earnings release.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the third fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.