- Will John Catsimatidis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?17¢
- Will Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?13¢
- Will Gus Bilirakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?32¢
- Will Dean Spanos be the next US Ambassador to Greece?13¢
- Will Michael Psaros be the next US Ambassador to Greece?4¢
- Will Josh Huck be the next US Ambassador to Greece?11¢
- Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?19¢
The abrupt resignation of Kimberly Guilfoyle on October 13, 2026, following reports of improper conduct, has created an immediate vacancy at the U.S. Embassy in Athens, with Deputy Chief of Mission Josh Huck assuming interim leadership. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because the White House and State Department face a months-long vetting and Senate confirmation process that could extend past the November 3 midterms, leaving open the possibility of either a political appointee with Greek-American ties or a career diplomat. Contenders such as Congressman Gus Bilirakis benefit from established relationships with President Trump and Secretary Rubio plus strong Hellenic Caucus credentials, while former ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt brings prior Greece experience, and other names including John Catsimatidis, Nicole Malliotakis, and Michael Psaros reflect competing donor and community networks. The outcome hinges on administration priorities, Senate composition after the midterms, and any late shifts in candidate interest.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Ambassador to Greece between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Ambassador to Greece if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.