- Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?59¢
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention?58¢
- Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Obama" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention?50¢
- Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?39¢
- Will Trump say "Transgender" 3+ times during RNC Convention?60¢
- Will Trump say "Vegan" during RNC Convention?14¢
- Will Trump say "Laken Riley" during RNC Convention?32¢
- Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?66¢
- Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC Convention?43¢
- Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention?25¢
- Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?63¢
- Will Trump say "Autism" during RNC Convention?30¢
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 10, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 10, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the keynote address on the second night of the Republican National Committee's first midterm convention, set for September 9–10 in Dallas. Party organizers have structured the program around themes including immigration enforcement, tax relief, economic growth, education policy, and border security, with Trump and Vice President JD Vance headlining each evening. Recent Trump remarks to House Republicans highlighted foreign-policy actions such as U.S.-Israel operations involving Iran alongside midterm mobilization priorities like voter ID rules and prescription-drug pricing. Traders assess term-specific probabilities by weighing these recurring policy emphases and rhetorical patterns from prior appearances against the structured two-hour format and audience composition. The event occurs weeks before the November midterms, focusing attention on turnout and agenda messaging.