- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?4¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?28¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?3¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30?12¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?33¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?12¢
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?4¢
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Recent softening in the DC Metro housing market stems primarily from federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions and net population outflows, which have boosted active listings nearly 50% year-over-year while sales growth lags. This imbalance has extended days on market to 31–50 and produced flat-to-down price trends, with metro median sale prices near $625,000–$650,000 through mid-2026 and Zillow-style home value indices reflecting modest YoY declines. Mortgage rates near 6.7% continue to constrain affordability and buyer demand, aligning with 2026 forecasts calling for a roughly 1% annual dip. With the September 30 resolution just weeks away, trader consensus clusters tightly around the $512K–$524K range because near-term data releases on inventory, employment, and rates will likely determine whether prices hold steady or edge lower before quarter-end.