- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?<1¢<1%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?<1¢<1%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?<1¢<1%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?<1¢<1%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?1¢1%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?2¢2%
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?3¢3%
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?24¢24%
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?4¢4%
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?<1¢<1%
- 0.6%↑ $15,000$123.8k Vol.
- 0.7%↑ $12,000$72.8k Vol.
- 1%↑ $10,000$108.3k Vol.
- 1%↑ $8,000$84.4k Vol.
- 1.3%↑ $7,000$250.7k Vol.
- 1.8%↑ $6,000$1.6m Vol.
- 3.2%↑ $5,000$424k Vol.
- 14%23.5%↓ $3,500$117.9k Vol.
- 1%3.7%↓ $3,000$29.1k Vol.
- 0.9%↓ $2,500$3k Vol.
Gold prices near $3,870–$4,000 per ounce face near-term pressure from hotter-than-expected October U.S. CPI data, which lifted December FOMC hike odds to roughly 75–86% for a 25-basis-point move and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield back toward 5%. Stronger dollar and elevated real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, reinforcing the sell-off from earlier 2026 highs. Offsetting factors include robust central-bank purchases of 321 tonnes in Q3 and renewed ETF inflows, which provide structural support. Key upcoming catalysts are the December 9 FOMC decision and November CPI release on December 10, which could shift rate expectations and influence year-end price levels.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market’s creation will not be considered. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.