- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?44¢44%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?52¢52%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?53¢53%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?50¢50%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in November?60¢60%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in November?70¢70%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?77¢77%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in November?74¢74%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?62¢62%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November?52¢52%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?50¢50%
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?50¢50%
Gold trades near $4,020 per ounce amid conflicting macro pressures, with energy-driven inflation from Middle East tensions and Brent crude above $110 supporting expectations for further Fed tightening after the September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range. The 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated near 5%, raising the opportunity cost of non-yielding bullion and contributing to recent price weakness below prior support levels. Persistent September CPI at 3.7% year-over-year reinforces a higher-for-longer policy path, with markets pricing a December hike. Offsetting factors include record central bank purchases and resilient physical demand, while the October 28 FOMC decision, November jobs report, and CPI release represent near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and real yields.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.