- Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?88¢
- Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?7¢
- Will MiniMax have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?6¢
- Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?3¢
- Will Meta have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?3¢
- Will Anthropic have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?3¢
- Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?3¢
- Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?2¢
- Will Xiaomi have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?<1¢
- Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?<1¢
- Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?<1¢
- Will Nvidia have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?<1¢
DeepSeek’s recent release of the V4.1 Flash 1017 model on October 17 has reinforced its lead in OpenRouter token volume, with the lab commanding 28.7% share in the latest snapshot covering 161T tokens. Traders assign it a 76.5% implied probability of finishing first for the week of October 19 because its low-cost, high-context architecture continues to attract agentic and high-volume developer workloads that favor price and speed over U.S. frontier models. Chinese labs overall benefit from aggressive pricing that captures the majority of routed usage, while OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google trail in aggregate tokens despite stronger per-token revenue. The market-implied odds reflect ongoing sensitivity to any new model drops or benchmark shifts that could alter routing patterns in the coming days.
Rules
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.