Mixed critical reception, with Rotten Tomatoes scores in the low-to-mid 40s, and a $4 million preview haul have kept trader expectations tightly clustered between $25–35 million for the October 16 domestic opening of Paramount and Legendary’s PG-13 Street Fighter adaptation. The $82 million production benefits from a wide 3,500-theater release and a mid-fall school break that could lift family and young-adult turnout, yet faces competition from the buzzy Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything and other newcomers. Historical video-game adaptation patterns and the film’s fan-service-heavy approach versus Mortal Kombat II’s stronger R-rated benchmark further anchor the 49 percent implied probability on the $30–35 million bin, with limited upside priced for breakout word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.