- Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?81¢
- Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?5¢
- Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?1¢
- Will Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?2¢
- Will Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?2¢
- Will Ricardo Madrid Pérez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?2¢
- Will Lucila Ayala de Moreschi win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?1¢
- Will Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?<1¢
- Will Tomás de Jesús López Bajo win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?3¢
- Will Omar López Campos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?4¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Imelda Castro Castro’s designation on August 26, 2026, as Morena’s state coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation positions her as the leading contender for the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. The announcement by the national party leadership, backed by PVEM and PT allies, followed an internal process with multiple aspirants and came amid the prior governor’s license and related legal pressures. This consolidation behind a single Morena figure aligns with the party’s historical strength in the state and explains the elevated trader consensus around her outcome. Other registered profiles from the same process and opposition contenders register far lower implied probabilities, consistent with fragmented early polling and the absence of comparable party infrastructure. The election remains more than nine months away, leaving room for later developments in candidate selection or voter sentiment.