- Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?28¢
- Will One Last Order win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?20¢
- Will Water Cooler win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?17¢
- Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢
- Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?10¢
- Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?9¢
- Will A Wolf in the Suburbs win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢
- Will Oh Whale win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢
- Will A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢
- Will Listen win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢
With the 2027 Oscars still months from nominations, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single documentary short has pulled ahead. Numerous titles sit near even implied odds because the category rewards timely subjects, strong festival buzz, and clear distribution paths more than early hype. Recent releases and festival premieres have kept several projects in play, but without guild or critics' circle signals yet, momentum remains fluid. Key upcoming catalysts include Sundance and other winter showcases, where reviews and acquisition news could quickly shift positioning ahead of the January shortlist.
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.