- Will "The Baddest Speechwriter of All" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?46¢
- Will "Water Cooler" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?32¢
- Will "A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?28¢
- Will "A Wolf in the Suburbs" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?28¢
- Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?28¢
- Will "One Last Order" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢
- Will "Oh Whale" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?21¢
- Will "A Derailment" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?20¢
- Will "We're Fine" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?19¢
- Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?19¢
Recent festival shortlists and precursor nominations are shaping early trader attention for the five Best Documentary Short Film nominees at the 99th Oscars. The Critics Choice Documentary Awards shortlist and DOC NYC’s influential Shorts selections, announced in mid-October 2026, highlighted titles such as “The Baddest Speechwriter of All” and others with strong festival pedigrees, providing the first concrete signals of momentum. Eligibility closed September 30, 2026, with final submissions due October 8; the Academy will reveal its 15-film shortlist on December 15 before nominations voting runs January 11–15, 2027. Documentary branch voters weigh theatrical or qualifying-festival runs alongside critical reception, and historical patterns show guild and critics’ nods often preview the eventual nominees. Traders are monitoring any late-2026 festival breakthroughs or additional precursor results that could shift consensus before the January announcement.
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.