- Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?30¢
- Will With Tapes and Toasts in the Car win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢
- Will God is Shy win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?11¢
- Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?9¢
- Will Water Girl win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?8¢
- Will El Cuerpo de Cristo win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?7¢
- Will Because Today is Saturday win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?7¢
- Will What We Leave Behind win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?6¢
- Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢
- Will Dollhouse Elephant win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢
- Will Saba win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢
With the Oscars 2027 Best Animated Short Film field still wide open in October 2026, trader sentiment reflects a highly competitive landscape where no single title has pulled ahead. Paper Trail leads at 20.8% implied probability, followed closely by With Tapes and Toasts in the Car at 17.0% and Please at 15.0%, while several other entries sit in the 10-12% range. This tight clustering stems from the early timing, as most qualifying shorts have yet to complete festival runs or secure broad critical attention. Key differentiators include animation technique, thematic resonance with Academy voters, and precursor momentum from events like the Annecy or Ottawa festivals. Guild and critics' circle nods expected in late 2026 and early 2027 will likely sharpen the market as voting patterns emerge.
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.