- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?90¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?7¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?4¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 180 and 190 million views on week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?<1¢
Recent MrBeast videos have shown first-week view totals clustering between roughly 100M and 200M, with standout releases like the October 2026 grocery store challenge hitting record day-one numbers near 68M before settling well above 150M overall. The market's 89% implied probability on the sub-150M bracket reflects trader assessment that the next upload will align more closely with standard rather than outlier performance, factoring in recent algorithm adjustments to view counting and variable production scale. Momentum from high-engagement titles has lifted some brackets modestly, yet consistent historical patterns and the absence of confirmed mega-challenge hype for the immediate follow-up keep higher thresholds at minimal odds. The next Saturday upload and early streaming data will serve as the primary near-term catalyst for any shifts in these aggregates.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the YouTube video "Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000" by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the video "Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw).