- Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views in week 1?2¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views in week 1?20¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?62¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views in week 1?20¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views in week 1?11¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views in week 1?3¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 72 million views in week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views in week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 79 million views in week 1?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s latest long-form challenge upload, “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000,” has settled into a predictable mid-70s view trajectory after several days on YouTube, driving trader consensus toward the 74-75 million bracket at 61.5% implied probability. Steady hourly velocity, strong algorithmic promotion of high-stakes formats, and the creator’s 500-plus million subscriber base have produced consistent gains without the late surges sometimes seen in bigger titles. Comparable mid-tier releases from mid-2026 show similar first-week pacing, keeping the market tightly bunched around the 73-76 million range. Key swing factors ahead of the 168-hour resolution include thumbnail performance, cross-platform clip momentum, and any unexpected retention shifts.