- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 84 million views on day 2?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 84 and 88 million views on day 2?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 88 and 92 million views on day 2?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?>99¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 104 million views on day 2?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get 104 million or more views on day 2?<1¢
MrBeast’s announcement of a major Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4–tied video, positioned as one of his biggest COD releases ever, has driven the market’s strong consensus toward the 92–96M bracket for day-2 views at 57.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the video’s expected launch momentum from the game’s simultaneous release, MrBeast’s established pattern of sustained early engagement on high-profile challenges, and his recent record 70M-plus first-day performance on the grocery-store video. The 88–92M range at 32% reflects the possibility of slightly slower second-day growth after an initial surge, while lower and higher brackets remain thinly traded. The video’s release tomorrow and the first chart-update windows will serve as immediate catalysts for any momentum shifts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers only to the video "Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw).