- Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?<1¢
- Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?<1¢
- Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?24¢
- Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?70¢
- Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?<1¢
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Incumbent Bola Tinubu holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for Nigeria’s January 2027 presidential election, driven by his position as sitting president, the All Progressives Congress’s control of 31 states, and a fragmented opposition field that includes Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, and Rabiu Kwankwaso. Official campaigning opened in mid-August 2026 with candidates pledging peaceful conduct, yet opposition coalitions remain unsettled, with reports of Obi-Kwankwaso alignment talks alongside separate ambitions that dilute any unified challenge. Economic pressures from ongoing reforms have weighed on public sentiment, but APC organizational reach and incumbency advantages continue to shape assessments of electoral math ahead of primaries and the January ballot.