- Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?100¢100%
- Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
- Will Candidate J be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?0¢0%
Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat in the September 8 primary, defeating first-time challenger Karishma Manzur by roughly 62 percent to 36 percent. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Pappas reflects his decisive victory, backed by endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, plus a fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As a four-term House member with crossover appeal, Pappas maintained broad establishment support despite Manzur’s late polling gains on progressive issues including health care and foreign policy. Absent any unresolved certification disputes, the outcome aligns with the primary results and sets up the general election matchup.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.