- Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?87¢
- Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?12¢
Derek Schmidt holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Kansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a partisan voter index of R+10. He defeated his primary challenger decisively in August and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with nearly $940,000 cash on hand compared to Coover’s roughly $244,000. Schmidt has secured endorsements from key agricultural organizations and law enforcement groups while emphasizing farm policy and support for military installations such as Fort Riley. Democrat Don Coover, a West Point graduate, Army veteran, and rancher, received an endorsement from Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly in early October and has aired ads targeting Schmidt’s record on certain congressional votes. The general election occurs November 3, with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpinning the current trader consensus.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).