- Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?9¢
- Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?22¢
- Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?45¢
- Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?14¢
- Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?25¢
Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the October 27 Knesset election, between roughly 9 and 12 seats out of 120, keeping implied vote shares clustered near the 7–11% thresholds. The joint list has shown modest stability after its April formation and September coordination pledge among opposition leaders, yet it faces competition for centrist and center-right voters from Yashar and smaller lists. Surplus-vote agreements with Yisrael Beiteinu and ongoing turnout efforts among anti-Netanyahu blocs contribute to the narrow spreads. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters or bloc consolidation could still widen or narrow the final share before election day.
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).