- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 14?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 14?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on October 14?<1¢
National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on October 14, 2026, center on highs of 86–88°F under mid-level ridging and a surface high over the western Atlantic, with mostly sunny skies, northeast-to-east breezes of 10–16 mph, and only a slight afternoon storm chance. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the upper 80s, though modest model differences in cloud cover, wind mixing, and shower timing create the tight market split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Historical October averages near 85°F provide context, while official observations from Miami International Airport will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.