- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?55¢55%
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?47¢47%
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?54¢54%
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?41¢41%
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?19¢19%
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?12¢12%
Current on-demand H200 rental rates sit at a median near $4.50–$4.90 per GPU-hour across dozens of providers as of late October 2026, with spot listings as low as $1.33 and hyperscaler instances reaching $7–$10. The H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth continue to command a modest premium over H100 for memory-intensive LLM training and inference, while neocloud marketplaces keep the floor lower through flexible supply. Prices have edged up roughly 4% over the past 90 days amid sustained AI demand, though expanding Blackwell capacity and reserved-term discounts are capping sharper gains. Key near-term variables include further B200 ramp-up, enterprise budget cycles, and any new large-model releases that could tighten or loosen utilization.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.