- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026?6¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?6¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?6¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?5¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?10¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?14¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?11¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?18¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?5¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?7¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?5¢
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?16¢
Persistent AI training and inference demand for high-memory Hopper GPUs like the H200 continues to support elevated rental rates, with current on-demand medians near $4.5–4.7 per GPU-hour across providers and recent upward trends of 3% over 90 days and 26% year-over-year. Traders see the closely matched probabilities around $5.50–$6.00 and $7.50+ as reflecting capacity constraints at neoclouds and hyperscalers, selective price increases such as Nebius’s 20% October adjustment, and slower-than-expected Blackwell displacement for memory-intensive workloads. Spot and marketplace rates remain lower but volatile, while export controls and domestic competition in China add global supply uncertainty that could either tighten Western availability or ease pressure if next-gen capacity ramps faster than anticipated before year-end.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.