- Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?3¢
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?6¢
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?14¢
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?34¢
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?25¢
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?24¢
Steady AI infrastructure demand amid rising supply of newer accelerators keeps H100 rental rates in a narrow band near term. As of mid-October 2026, on-demand medians sit around $3.40–$3.52 per GPU-hour across providers, with neoclouds and marketplaces offering floors near $1.80–$2.50 while hyperscalers charge premiums up to $7–$12; recent adjustments include Nebius lifting rates to $4.50 effective October 1 and similar moves at Runpod and Lambda. Forward curves from indices like Silicon Data show backwardation around $2.88 for October, reflecting expectations of gradual softening as H200/B200 capacity expands and utilization patterns stabilize. The tightly contested Polymarket odds around $2.50–$3.00 capture uncertainty over short-term spot availability, seasonal demand fluctuations, and any late-month capacity releases, with traders weighing persistent large-model workloads against competitive substitution.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.