Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s first foldable iPhone is widely expected to be unveiled at the September 9, 2026 event alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, making that announcement the key near-term catalyst for price resolution. Analyst reports and supply-chain updates consistently point to a starting price above $2,000, with figures from Ming-Chi Kuo and others centering on $2,000–$2,500 depending on storage, positioning it well above current Pro Max models and comparable to premium Android foldables. Production has advanced through trial runs at Foxconn with mass output targeted for August, though limited initial volumes remain possible due to the complex hinge and display requirements. The device is described as a book-style design with roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner OLED panels, reflecting Apple’s push into a high-margin new category amid competition from Samsung and Google.