- Will Darline Graham win at least 30% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?>99¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 40% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?>99¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 55% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?49¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 65% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?22¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 75% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?26¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 85% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?<1¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 45% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?83¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?92¢
- Will Darline Graham win at least 60% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?14¢
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Darline Graham advanced from the August 11 special primary with roughly one-third of the vote to face Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 Republican runoff for the Senate nomination to replace her late brother Lindsey. Trump’s endorsement, a Myrtle Beach rally, and nearly $828,000 in last-minute spending by his MAGA Inc. super PAC gave her decisive momentum in a compressed race, while her interim appointment provided incumbency and name recognition advantages across most of the state. Norman performed better in his upstate base but trailed elsewhere. These factors shaped trader expectations for Graham’s final vote share in the low-50s range against a field that included other Trump-aligned contenders earlier in the cycle.