- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Game Spread: Minaur (-8.5) vs Guerrieri (+8.5)50¢
- Set 3 Winner: Guerrieri vs Minaur46¢
- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Set 3 Games O/U 9.550¢
- Andrea Guerrieri vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.550¢
- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Set 3 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.550¢
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Guerrieri (+1.5)50¢
- Andrea Guerrieri vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 4.550¢
- Guerrieri vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.550¢
- Set 4 Winner: Guerrieri vs Minaur50¢
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Alex de Minaur in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrea Guerrieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alex de Minaur enters this US Open first-round match as the clear market favorite due to his world No. 6-7 ranking, elite hard-court movement, and consistent early-round success at Flushing Meadows, where he has won his opening match in each of the past 17 Slams. The Australian brings superior serve-return pressure and overall ATP-level experience against qualifier Andrea Guerrieri, a 27-year-old Italian ranked No. 187 who earned his main-draw spot with three qualifying wins but has limited exposure at this level. The contest was postponed one day by rain, potentially giving de Minaur extra rest on the hard courts where his speed and baseline consistency typically overwhelm lower-ranked opponents. No prior head-to-head exists, underscoring the experience mismatch that shapes current implied probabilities.