- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?90¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?75¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?60¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?23¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?11¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?7¢
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?3¢
Anthropic’s pre-IPO investor meetings on October 14 at its San Francisco headquarters are centering trader focus on a potential $1.8–2 trillion debut valuation, more than double the $965 billion May 2026 Series H mark. Leaked prospectus details show 2025 revenue near $4.6 billion with a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, alongside $518 billion in compute commitments and substantial operating losses. The company leads rivals like OpenAI, which has deferred its own listing until 2027, while facing AI safety scrutiny and questions over whether revenue growth can justify a multiple exceeding 30 times the current run rate. Formal roadshow activity expected the week of November 9 and third-quarter results in the public S-1 will provide key near-term signals ahead of a targeted pre-Thanksgiving listing.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.