- Will Acácio Favacho win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?2¢
- Will Alliny Serrão win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?2¢
- Will Capi win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?<1¢
- Will Helio Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?2¢
- Will Juíza Jô win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?1¢
- Will Lucas Barreto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?5¢
- Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?80¢
- Will Professor Uzian Pinto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?3¢
- Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?3¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leads the Amapá Senate race with consistent polling advantages, reflecting trader consensus on her strong position to secure first place in the October 2026 election where voters select two senators. Recent surveys from July and August 2026 show her capturing 32–58% of combined first- and second-preference votes, well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. Her momentum stems from alliances tied to her husband’s leading gubernatorial bid, prior statewide name recognition from a 2022 Senate run, and broad coalition backing that includes PSD. Other candidates such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho register single-digit support in the same polls, underscoring the front-runner’s separation in voter preference data.