- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?2¢2 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?3¢3 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?4¢4 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?3¢3 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?4¢4 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?4¢4 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?22¢22 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.45T by December 31?29¢29 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by December 31?37¢37 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by December 31?61¢61 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31?72¢72 %
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?10¢10 %
- 1 %1,8 %↑$5.0TObjem 15,2 tis. $
- 1 %3,3 %↑$4.0TObjem 24,2 tis. $
- 3,7 %↑$3.0TObjem 34,1 tis. $
- 3,3 %↑$2.5TObjem 59,6 tis. $
- 4,2 %↑$2.0TObjem 157,1 tis. $
- 3,5 %↑$1.75TObjem 90,9 tis. $
- 2 %22 %↑$1.5TObjem 131 tis. $
- 6 %29 %↑$1.45TObjem 691,4 $
- 6 %36,5 %↑$1.4TObjem 1,1 tis. $
- 2 %60,5 %↑$1.35TObjem 2 tis. $
- 1 %71,5 %↑$1.3TObjem 3,3 tis. $
- 2 %9,5 %↓$800BObjem 113,8 tis. $
OpenAI’s latest funding round, now targeting up to $20 billion at a $1.25 trillion post-money valuation after investor pushback from an earlier $1.4 trillion ask, represents the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment on whether its valuation reaches the market threshold by year-end. The round, led by UAE investors including MGX alongside Coatue and others, follows the March 2026 $852 billion post-money close and reflects tempered enthusiasm amid a broad tech sell-off tied to AI infrastructure spending concerns. Annualized revenue has reached a $50 billion run rate, with management projecting $70 billion by December, supporting the step-up from prior levels while the company positions the raise as a bridge to a 2027 IPO. Secondary share prices imply valuations near $1.13 trillion as of early November, and any acceleration in enterprise adoption or additional capital commitments could influence pricing before December 31.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.