- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?13¢13 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?21¢21 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?28¢28 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?19¢19 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?8¢8 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?6¢6 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?2¢2 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?<1¢<1 %
- Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?<1¢<1 %
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?4¢4 %
- 5 %13,2 %<$1.25TObjem 373,2 tis. $
- 4 %21,2 %$1.25–$1.5TObjem 334,1 tis. $
- 28,3 %$1.5–$1.75TObjem 406,6 tis. $
- 5 %19 %$1.75–$2.0TObjem 644,9 tis. $
- 9 %7,6 %$2.0–$2.25TObjem 825,5 tis. $
- 5,5 %$2.25–$2.5TObjem 410,7 tis. $
- 1,7 %$2.5–$2.75TObjem 206,5 tis. $
- 0,9 %$2.75–$3.0TObjem 148,7 tis. $
- 0,7 %$3.0T+Objem 163,2 tis. $
- 3 %4,1 %No IPO by December 31, 2027Objem 208 tis. $
Anthropic’s recent S-1 filing and explosive revenue trajectory—H1 2026 revenue of $16.3 billion, with Q3 reaching nearly $17 billion—anchor trader expectations for a mid-November Nasdaq debut under ticker ANT at a closing market cap clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2 trillion. The company’s last private round priced it at $965 billion in May, yet investor feedback has tempered earlier $2 trillion targets toward the $1.5 trillion area amid $895 billion-plus in long-term compute commitments, substantial non-cash losses, and a still-nascent path to sustained operating margins. This distribution of market-implied odds reflects uncertainty over how public investors will price the AI infrastructure buildout and competitive positioning versus peers like OpenAI, which is pursuing a private round instead. With the offering process now underway, near-term catalysts center on roadshow demand, final pricing, and any shifts in broader risk appetite for high-growth technology names.
Pravidla
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.