- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026?5¢5 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?3¢3 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?2¢2 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?9¢9 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?17¢17 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?17¢17 %
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?45¢45 %
- 4,9 %<$2.50Objem 1,5 tis. $
- 0,3 %$2.50-$3.00Objem 1,5 tis. $
- 4 %$3.00-$3.50Objem 1,7 tis. $
- 1 %3,4 %$3.50-$4.00Objem 5,4 tis. $
- 1,6 %$4.00-$4.50Objem 10,5 tis. $
- 4,2 %$5.00-$5.50Objem 4,1 tis. $
- 3 %9 %$5.50-$6.00Objem 10 tis. $
- 1 %6,2 %$6.00-$6.50Objem 2,7 tis. $
- 8 %17,2 %$6.50-$7.00Objem 5,3 tis. $
- 7 %17 %$7.00-$7.50Objem 2,4 tis. $
- 18 %44,9 %$7.50+Objem 6,1 tis. $
Trader consensus around $6.50–$7.50+ for H200 rental rates by end-2026 reflects persistent supply constraints and robust demand for its 141 GB HBM3e memory in long-context inference and memory-bound training workloads. Blackwell B200/B300 ramp-up has begun diverting some frontier training demand, yet H200 maintains a premium niche where its bandwidth advantage justifies rates above H100 levels. Recent spot softening to the low $2 range contrasts with resilient on-demand medians near $4.50–$5.50 across providers, underscoring hyperscaler pricing power and limited near-term capacity additions. Seasonal AI compute needs and ongoing HBM3e shortages could support the higher implied probabilities, though any accelerated Blackwell availability or broader economic slowdown remains a swing factor.
Pravidla
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.