- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?66¢66 %
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?18¢18 %
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?13¢13 %
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?3¢3 %
- Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?2¢2 %
- Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?<1¢<1 %
- Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?<1¢<1 %
13 %66 %MicrosoftObjem 33 tis. $
4 %17,5 %AlphabetObjem 47,5 tis. $
7 %13,1 %NVIDIAObjem 20,8 tis. $
1 %2,9 %AppleObjem 25,7 tis. $
1 %2,2 %AmazonObjem 8,6 tis. $
0,7 %SpaceXObjem 13,6 tis. $
Microsoft's leading 65% implied probability for third-largest market cap by end-2026 stems from its recent Azure cloud revenue surge of 48% year-over-year, beating expectations, alongside strong AI infrastructure demand and post-election investor enthusiasm for cloud computing. This positions the company ahead of NVIDIA (17.2%), whose stock has shown volatility amid semiconductor cycles, and Alphabet (12.5%), which trails in cloud momentum. With only weeks until resolution and current rankings showing Microsoft at roughly $4.1 trillion behind Apple and NVIDIA, sustained large language model adoption and enterprise AI spending reinforce trader consensus around Microsoft's edge, though near-term hardware or regulatory shifts could still influence final standings.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.