- Reza Pahlavi 会在 12月31日 前进入伊朗吗？3¢
Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, has publicly stated he is prepared to return at the first opportunity to support a democratic transition, including during October 2026 news conferences and interviews amid ongoing nationwide protests fueled by economic hardship and political grievances. These remarks follow the earlier death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent military actions, which Pahlavi described as potential turning points, though the regime has shown resilience through ceasefires and negotiations. Trader sentiment remains low because no verified internal mechanisms, invitations, or specific timelines for safe entry exist, and opposition groups remain divided. Key upcoming factors include the trajectory of protests, any shifts in security force alignments, and diplomatic developments that could alter conditions for opposition figures.
规则
如果 Reza Pahlavi 在市场创建后、2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 之前访问伊朗，则该市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 就本市场而言，“访问”定义为 Reza Pahlavi 亲自进入伊朗陆地领土。在本市场的时间范围内，Reza Pahlavi 是否进入伊朗领空或海域，不会影响市场作出肯定结算。 本市场结算的主要依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。