- 加拿大今年的失业率会是2016年以来最高的吗？9¢9%
Canada's unemployment rate stood at 6.5% in September 2026, tracking near its 2026 average and well below the roughly 9.7% annual peak recorded in 2020 or the 7.5% level in 2021—the highest annual readings since 2016. Recent labor-market data show modest monthly job losses concentrated in public-sector roles and youth employment, alongside a participation rate near multi-decade lows outside the pandemic, yet the headline rate remains anchored by steady private-sector hiring and wage growth near 2.3% year-over-year. Bank of Canada communications and incoming indicators point to a cooling but non-recessionary economy, with markets pricing limited further deterioration before year-end. A sharp escalation in U.S. tariffs or an abrupt global slowdown could still lift the rate materially in the final months, though current trajectories make such an outcome unlikely.
规则
如果 Statistics Canada 在劳动力调查中公布的 2026 年任何一个月份经季节性调整的失业率（15 岁及以上，总计）高于自 2017 年 1 月（含）以来任何其他月份的失业率，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 本市场的判定来源为劳动力调查，该调查由 Statistics Canada 每月在 https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm 发布。 首次符合条件的数据发布后所作的任何数据修订，均不计入本市场的判定；每个月仅以最初发布的数值为准。符合条件的数据一经发布，本市场即会立即判定。 如果指定月份的数据未能在下个月数据计划发布的日期前发布，本市场将根据最近一个可获得月份的数据进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。