- Ari Weinstein 会在 2026年12月31日 前离开 OpenAI 吗？21¢21%
Ari Weinstein’s deep integration into OpenAI’s product team following the October 2025 acquisition of Software Applications Incorporated underpins the 91% market-implied probability he remains through December 31, 2026. As a member of product staff focused on computer-use capabilities, agentic desktop features, and Codex integration for macOS and ChatGPT, Weinstein has delivered public updates on features like Computer History through mid-2026, aligning with OpenAI’s push for advanced large language model automation amid competition from Anthropic and Google. Equity incentives from the acquisition and lack of reported exit signals or competing offers reinforce trader consensus on stability, even as OpenAI navigates broader executive turnover. Product timeline shifts or unexpected leadership changes could still alter outcomes in this competitive AI landscape.
规则
如果 Ari Weinstein 在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前的任何一段时间内不再受雇于 OpenAI，或不再与 OpenAI 保持正式合同关系，则本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 这包括终止、暂停或撤回他对 OpenAI 所承担的任何合同或合作义务。 任何关于 Ari 离开 OpenAI 的官方公告（例如 OpenAI 或 Ari 发布声明，表明他将不再与 OpenAI 合作）都符合条件，无论公告所述的离职何时生效。 本市场的结算依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。