- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Stefan Brodie吗？20¢20%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Donald Brodie吗？16¢16%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Ryan Salame吗？13¢13%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Steve Bannon吗？8¢8%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Keonne Rodriguez吗？8¢8%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Matt Gaetz吗？7¢7%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Daniel Penny吗？6¢6%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Elizabeth Holmes吗？6¢6%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Roger Ver吗？5¢5%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Bob Menendez吗？5¢5%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Diddy吗？5¢5%
- 特朗普会在2027年之前赦免Joe Exotic“The Tiger King”吗？5¢5%
Trump has already granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025, including a blanket pardon and commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office, plus targeted grants to political allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows, along with figures like Changpeng Zhao and George Santos. Recent developments include on-the-spot pardons issued at rallies, signals that administration officials may receive protection before the end of the term, and donor-linked grants that have drawn congressional scrutiny and investigations into influence by cabinet members. Patterns show heavy emphasis on Republican supporters, MAGA-aligned individuals, and cases involving campaign finance or fraud convictions, with restitution often waived. With the 2026 midterms approaching and ongoing reports of applications bypassing traditional DOJ processes, trader focus centers on additional grants to donors, officials, or high-profile cases that could occur before year-end.
规则
如果名单所列个人在 2025年11月17日 至 2026年12月31日、23:59 ET 之间获得唐纳德·特朗普总统的赦免、减刑或暂缓执行，则此市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 判定该个人是否获得特赦的主要依据将是美国政府的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。