- 到2026年12月底，Anthropic会拥有排名第一的人工智能模型吗？45¢
- 到2026年12月底，Meta会拥有排名第一的AI模型吗？13¢
- 到2026年12月底，谷歌会拥有排名第一的人工智能模型吗？35¢
- Moonshot会在2026年12月底拥有排名第一的AI模型吗？4¢
- OpenAI会在2026年12月底拥有排名第一的AI模型吗？5¢
- 到2026年12月底，阿里巴巴会拥有全球第一的人工智能模型吗？4¢
- SpaceXAI会在2026年12月底拥有全球第一的AI模型吗？6¢
- 到2026年12月底，Z.ai 会有全球排名第一的 AI 模型吗？4¢
- 到2026年12月底，百度会拥有排名第一的人工智能模型吗？4¢
- 到2026年12月底， 小米会拥有排名第一的AI模型吗？4¢
- 到2026年12月底，DeepSeek会拥有排名第一的人工智能模型吗？6¢
- 到2026年12月底，字节跳动会拥有排名第一的AI模型吗？4¢
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".