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Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Trader consensus assigns My Brilliant Career: Season 1 a near-certain 99.2 percent implied probability of finishing as the number-two global Netflix title this week, reflecting dominant weekly viewership metrics and audience retention that have outpaced the field. Other contenders including Show A, Show B, Show C, and Outer Banks: Season 5 register far lower odds around 0.1–50 percent, underscoring limited momentum for established or returning series. This market-implied outcome aligns with typical patterns where a breakout season captures sustained streaming hours before the weekly ranking cutoff. An upset remains possible if a surprise release or late promotional surge drives measurable gains in global hours viewed, though historical chart data suggest such reversals are rare once a leader establishes this level of separation.