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What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
Dubai residential indices have moderated after multi-year gains, with the Property Index (PIX©) slipping to 203.6 by August 2026 from peaks above 215 earlier in the year amid a roughly 10% cumulative adjustment from late-February levels. Heightened supply deliveries—24,800 units in H1 alone, with tens of thousands more slated for H2—combined with softer transaction volumes and regional uncertainty have pressured mainstream prices and rents, though luxury off-plan and villa segments show relative resilience with positive year-on-year readings in select areas. Transaction values and investor inflows remained elevated through Q1 before easing, reflecting a shift toward more selective buyer activity. Key near-term influences include the pace of remaining 2026 completions, rental yield compression, and any further shifts in global capital flows or local monetary conditions.