- 特朗普会在2026年12月31日之前将新墨西哥州改名为新美国吗？13¢13%
President Trump has repeatedly promoted renaming New Mexico “New America” through Truth Social posts, altered maps, and AI videos since early September 2026, most recently on October 19, tying the idea to state prestige, home values, and election integrity claims while linking it to prior federal geographic rebrandings such as the Gulf of America. Trader consensus prices any formal directive by year-end at low single digits because a state name change is embedded in New Mexico’s constitution and requires legislative passage plus voter approval, actions state officials including Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham and Senator Ben Ray Luján have rejected outright. The market resolves on presidential action directing federal references, yet structural barriers and lack of state cooperation limit near-term movement.
规则
如果唐纳德·特朗普在指定日期 23:59 ET 之前发布任何行政命令、总统备忘录或公告，签署任何法案使其成为法律，或以其他方式正式指示联邦政府将新墨西哥州更名为“新美国”或任何其他包含“美国”的名称，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 特朗普政府正式指示将新墨西哥州更名即符合条件，包括通过美国地名委员会发出的指示。 就本市场而言，“更名”包括指示联邦政府在提及该州时使用新名称，无论该州的法定名称是否发生变更。 除非同时伴有符合条件的正式行动或指示，否则支持新墨西哥州更名的声明、社交媒体帖子或表态均不符合条件。 本市场的判定来源将是特朗普政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。